Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Largest Company end of July?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-31.3 pp

Signal Score

84/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability fell 31.3pp; volume is 4.5x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-31 21:48 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 31.3pp
24h volume is 4.5x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $49,926

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-31.3 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

86 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 31, 09:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
7/31/2026, 9:45:00 PM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 PM	1.5%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 PM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 7:00:00 PM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 6:00:00 PM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM	0.3%
7/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM	0.5%
7/31/2026, 3:00:00 PM	0.7%
7/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM	2.2%
7/31/2026, 1:00:00 PM	8.3%
7/31/2026, 12:00:00 PM	8.9%
7/31/2026, 11:00:00 AM	10.0%
7/31/2026, 10:00:00 AM	10.3%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 AM	10.4%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 AM	10.7%
7/31/2026, 7:00:00 AM	15.1%
7/31/2026, 6:00:00 AM	12.5%
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 AM	13.5%
7/31/2026, 4:00:00 AM	20.2%
7/31/2026, 3:00:00 AM	27.1%
7/31/2026, 2:00:00 AM	23.4%
7/31/2026, 1:00:00 AM	20.3%
7/31/2026, 12:00:00 AM	23.4%
7/30/2026, 11:00:00 PM	31.3%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+0.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$649.9K

Volume vs Baseline

4.5x baseline

Liquidity

$49.9K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jul 31, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 84/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 93

Liquidity Quality 96

Persistence 10

Data Confidence High (80)

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