Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

2nd Largest Company end of July?

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Current Probability

87.7%

24h Change

+5.2 pp

Signal Score

59/100

Data Confidence

High (86)

24h probability rose 5.2pp; volume is 4.8x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-30 18:59 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability rose 5.2pp
24h volume is 4.8x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $6,642

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

87.7%

24h Change

+5.2 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

37 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 30, 06:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
7/30/2026, 6:45:00 PM	87.7%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM	84.2%
7/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM	82.7%
7/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM	82.5%
7/30/2026, 3:00:00 PM	81.3%
7/30/2026, 2:00:00 PM	88.7%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM	93.9%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM	94.7%
7/30/2026, 11:00:00 AM	96.5%
7/30/2026, 10:00:00 AM	96.6%
7/30/2026, 9:00:00 AM	94.5%
7/30/2026, 8:00:00 AM	93.5%
7/30/2026, 7:00:00 AM	93.0%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 AM	92.5%
7/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM	90.5%
7/30/2026, 4:00:00 AM	89.5%
7/30/2026, 3:00:00 AM	91.0%
7/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM	91.0%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 AM	91.0%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM	91.5%
7/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM	91.5%
7/29/2026, 10:00:00 PM	90.5%
7/29/2026, 9:00:00 PM	90.0%
7/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM	89.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+5.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$49.3K

Volume vs Baseline

4.8x baseline

Liquidity

$6.6K

Market Significance

Moderate (64)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jul 31, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 59/100.

Probability Momentum 17

Volume Activity 98

Liquidity Quality 78

Persistence 98

Data Confidence High (86)

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