0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?

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Current Probability

94.7%

24h Change

+92.7 pp

Signal Score

84/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability rose 92.7pp; volume is 22.8x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 50 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-04 18:15 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 92.7pp
  • 24h volume is 22.8x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $15,266

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

94.7%

24h Change

+92.7 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$122.7K

Volume vs Baseline

22.8x baseline

Liquidity

$15.3K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jul 31, 2026

Attention Score

97

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 84/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 84
Persistence 10
Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

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