0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
Current Probability
94.7%
24h Change
+92.7 pp
Signal Score
84/100
Data Confidence
High (79)
24h probability rose 92.7pp; volume is 22.8x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability rose 92.7pp
- 24h volume is 22.8x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $15,266
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
94.7%
24h Change
+92.7 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-0.4 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$122.7K
Volume vs Baseline
22.8x baseline
Liquidity
$15.3K
Market Significance
High (76)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Jul 31, 2026
Attention Score
97
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 84/100.