US x China tariff agreement by July 31?

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Current Probability

3.2%

24h Change

-2.6 pp

Signal Score

48/100

Data Confidence

High (82)

24h probability fell 2.6pp; volume is 135.4x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 14 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-21 10:44 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 2.6pp
  • 24h volume is 135.4x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $34,499

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

3.2%

24h Change

-2.6 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.2 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$45.4K

Volume vs Baseline

135.4x baseline

Liquidity

$34.5K

Market Significance

Moderate (69)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jul 31, 2026

Attention Score

69

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 48/100.

Probability Momentum 9
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 83
Persistence 45
Data Confidence High (82)

Next Steps

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