US x China tariff agreement by July 31?
Current Probability
3.2%
24h Change
-2.6 pp
Signal Score
48/100
Data Confidence
High (82)
24h probability fell 2.6pp; volume is 135.4x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 2.6pp
- 24h volume is 135.4x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $34,499
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
3.2%
24h Change
-2.6 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-0.2 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$45.4K
Volume vs Baseline
135.4x baseline
Liquidity
$34.5K
Market Significance
Moderate (69)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Jul 31, 2026
Attention Score
69
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 48/100.