Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?

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Current Probability

0.3%

24h Change

-0.3 pp

Signal Score

35/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability fell 0.3pp; volume is 3.1x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-04 10:16 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 0.3pp
24h volume is 3.1x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $156,790

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.3%

24h Change

-0.3 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

156 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 4, 10:15 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/4/2026, 10:15:00 AM	0.3%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM	0.3%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 AM	0.3%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 AM	0.3%
8/4/2026, 7:15:00 AM	0.3%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 AM	0.3%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 AM	0.4%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM	0.4%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 AM	0.4%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 AM	0.4%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 AM	0.5%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM	0.5%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 AM	0.8%
8/3/2026, 11:45:00 PM	0.8%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM	0.8%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM	0.8%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM	0.8%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM	1.1%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM	0.6%
8/3/2026, 6:15:00 PM	0.7%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM	0.7%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM	0.7%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM	0.7%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM	0.8%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$298.8K

Volume vs Baseline

3.1x baseline

Liquidity

$156.8K

Market Significance

High (83)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jul 31, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 35/100.

Probability Momentum 1

Volume Activity 70

Liquidity Quality 95

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (81)

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