Iran leadership change by July 31?
Iran leadership change by...?
Current Probability
0.4%
24h Change
+0.1 pp
Signal Score
31/100
Data Confidence
High (85)
24h probability rose 0.1pp; volume is 1.7x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability rose 0.1pp
- 24h volume is 1.7x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $74,006
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
0.4%
24h Change
+0.1 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
+0.1 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$138.7K
Volume vs Baseline
1.7x baseline
Liquidity
$74.0K
Market Significance
High (81)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Jul 31, 2026
Attention Score
34
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 31/100.