Israel closes its airspace by August 31?

Israel closes its airspace by...?

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Current Probability

19.0%

24h Change

+2.0 pp

Signal Score

18/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability rose 2.0pp; volume is 1.0x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-03 10:56 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability rose 2.0pp
24h volume is 1.0x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $41,823

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

19.0%

24h Change

+2.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

148 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 3, 10:45 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/3/2026, 10:45:00 AM	19.0%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 AM	20.0%
8/3/2026, 9:15:00 AM	20.0%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 AM	20.0%
8/3/2026, 8:45:00 AM	20.0%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM	20.0%
8/3/2026, 7:30:00 AM	20.0%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM	20.0%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM	20.0%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 AM	19.0%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 AM	20.0%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 AM	19.0%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 AM	20.5%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 AM	20.0%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM	20.0%
8/2/2026, 11:00:00 PM	20.5%
8/2/2026, 10:00:00 PM	21.0%
8/2/2026, 9:00:00 PM	22.5%
8/2/2026, 8:15:00 PM	21.0%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM	20.0%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 PM	22.0%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM	22.0%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM	21.5%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM	22.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$43.8K

Volume vs Baseline

1.0x baseline

Liquidity

$41.8K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jul 15, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 18/100.

Probability Momentum 7

Volume Activity 3

Liquidity Quality 83

Persistence 10

Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

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