Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?
Current Probability
17.5%
24h Change
-2.5 pp
Signal Score
43/100
Data Confidence
High (78)
24h probability fell 2.5pp; volume is 235.2x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 2.5pp
- 24h volume is 235.2x the prior 6-day daily average
- Low liquidity ($1,639)
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
17.5%
24h Change
-2.5 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
Unchanged
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$78.2K
Volume vs Baseline
235.2x baseline
Liquidity
$1.6K
Market Significance
Moderate (63)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 7 days
End Date
Oct 1, 2026
Attention Score
67
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 43/100.