Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?

Open · Resolves in 140 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

7.6%

24h Change

+0.5 pp

Signal Score

14/100

Data Confidence

Medium (68)

24h probability rose 0.5pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-11 09:03 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $6,904
Medium data confidence (68)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

7.6%

24h Change

+0.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

125 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 11, 09:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/11/2026, 9:00:00 AM	7.6%
8/11/2026, 8:00:00 AM	7.8%
8/11/2026, 7:00:00 AM	7.8%
8/11/2026, 6:00:00 AM	8.0%
8/11/2026, 5:00:00 AM	7.8%
8/11/2026, 4:00:00 AM	8.0%
8/11/2026, 3:00:00 AM	7.8%
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 AM	7.5%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 AM	7.4%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 AM	7.4%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM	7.4%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 PM	7.4%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 PM	7.4%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 PM	7.4%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM	7.4%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM	7.4%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM	7.4%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM	7.4%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM	7.4%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM	7.4%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM	7.4%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM	7.2%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM	7.2%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM	7.2%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.2 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$44.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$6.9K

Market Significance

Moderate (70)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 140 days

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 14/100.

Probability Momentum 2

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 77

Persistence 10

Data Confidence Medium (68)

Next Steps

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