Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July?

What price will Bitcoin hit in July?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-0.1 pp

Signal Score

40/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability fell 0.1pp; volume is 7.3x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 6 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-29 08:04 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 0.1pp
24h volume is 7.3x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $47,212

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-0.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

20 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 29, 08:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
7/29/2026, 8:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/29/2026, 7:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/29/2026, 6:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/29/2026, 5:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/29/2026, 4:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/29/2026, 3:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/29/2026, 2:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/29/2026, 1:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/28/2026, 11:00:00 PM	0.1%
7/28/2026, 10:00:00 PM	0.1%
7/28/2026, 9:00:00 PM	0.1%
7/28/2026, 8:00:00 PM	0.1%
7/28/2026, 7:00:00 PM	0.1%
7/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM	0.1%
7/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM	0.1%
7/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM	0.1%
7/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM	0.1%
7/28/2026, 2:00:00 PM	0.1%
7/28/2026, 1:00:00 PM	0.1%
7/28/2026, 12:00:00 PM	0.1%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$28.8K

Volume vs Baseline

7.3x baseline

Liquidity

$47.2K

Market Significance

Moderate (68)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 1, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 40/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 82

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.

Back to radar Browse all markets View on Polymarket ↗