Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by September 30?

Open · Resolves in 57 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

8.5%

24h Change

Unchanged

Signal Score

39/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

volume is 19.0x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 3 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-04 07:27 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability was effectively unchanged
24h volume is 19.0x the prior 6-day daily average
Low liquidity ($1,647)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

8.5%

24h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

154 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 4, 07:15 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/4/2026, 7:15:00 AM	8.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 AM	8.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 AM	8.5%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM	8.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 AM	8.0%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 AM	9.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 AM	9.5%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM	9.0%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 AM	9.0%
8/3/2026, 11:45:00 PM	9.0%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM	9.0%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM	9.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM	9.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM	9.5%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM	9.5%
8/3/2026, 6:15:00 PM	9.5%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM	9.0%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM	6.0%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM	6.0%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 PM	6.0%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM	6.0%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 PM	6.0%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 PM	8.0%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM	7.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$49.3K

Volume vs Baseline

19.0x baseline

Liquidity

$1.6K

Market Significance

Moderate (63)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 57 days

End Date

Sep 30, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 39/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 73

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (78)

Next Steps

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