Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
Current Probability
30.5%
24h Change
+6.0 pp
Signal Score
48/100
Data Confidence
High (79)
24h probability rose 6.0pp; volume is 17.2x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability rose 6.0pp
- 24h volume is 17.2x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $33,299
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
30.5%
24h Change
+6.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-1.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$105.4K
Volume vs Baseline
17.2x baseline
Liquidity
$33.3K
Market Significance
High (76)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 98 days
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Attention Score
73
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 48/100.