Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

Open · Resolves in 296 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.4%

24h Change

+0.1 pp

Signal Score

42/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability rose 0.1pp; volume is 10.8x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 18:43 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 0.1pp
  • 24h volume is 10.8x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $354,642

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.4% · Aug 8, 06:30 PM

0% 3% 1% Aug 7 Aug 8 Aug 8 Aug 8 Current 0.4% · 7d of stored history · 28 pts

Current

0.4%

24h Change

+0.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

170 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 06:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/8/2026, 6:30:00 PM 0.4%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM 0.4%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM 0.4%
8/8/2026, 4:30:00 PM 0.4%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM 0.4%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM 0.4%
8/8/2026, 2:30:00 PM 0.4%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM 0.4%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM 0.4%
8/8/2026, 12:45:00 PM 0.4%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM 0.4%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM 0.4%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM 0.3%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM 0.3%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM 0.3%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM 0.3%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM 0.3%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM 0.3%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM 0.3%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM 0.3%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM 0.3%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM 0.3%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM 0.3%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM 0.3%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$181.9K

Volume vs Baseline

10.8x baseline

Liquidity

$354.6K

Market Significance

High (87)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 296 days

End Date

May 30, 2027

Attention Score

69

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 42/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 93
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

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