Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?

Open · Resolves in 296 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

53.5%

24h Change

+2.0 pp

Signal Score

45/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability rose 2.0pp; volume is 34.2x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 21 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-07 12:30 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 2.0pp
  • 24h volume is 34.2x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $394,527

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 53.5% · Aug 7, 12:30 PM

51% 54% 54% Aug 6 Aug 6 Aug 7 Aug 7 Current 53.5% · 7d of stored history · 27 pts

Current

53.5%

24h Change

+2.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

149 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 7, 12:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/7/2026, 12:30:00 PM 53.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/7/2026, 9:30:00 AM 53.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/7/2026, 4:30:00 AM 53.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/6/2026, 11:00:00 PM 52.5%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 PM 51.5%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 PM 51.5%
8/6/2026, 8:00:00 PM 51.5%
8/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM 51.5%
8/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM 51.5%
8/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM 51.5%
8/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM 51.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$181.8K

Volume vs Baseline

34.2x baseline

Liquidity

$394.5K

Market Significance

High (87)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 296 days

End Date

May 30, 2027

Attention Score

71

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 45/100.

Probability Momentum 7
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 93
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

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