Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?

LALIGA: 2027 Champion

Open · Resolves in 300 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

44.5%

24h Change

+1.0 pp

Signal Score

43/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability rose 1.0pp; volume is 9.9x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-01 11:49 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 1.0pp
  • 24h volume is 9.9x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $437,182

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 44.5% · Aug 1, 11:45 AM

43% 46% 45% Jul 31 Jul 31 Aug 1 Aug 1 Current 44.5% · 7d of stored history · 27 pts

Current

44.5%

24h Change

+1.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

80 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 1, 11:45 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/1/2026, 11:45:00 AM 44.5%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 AM 44.5%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 AM 44.5%
8/1/2026, 9:00:00 AM 44.5%
8/1/2026, 8:00:00 AM 44.5%
8/1/2026, 7:30:00 AM 44.5%
8/1/2026, 7:00:00 AM 44.5%
8/1/2026, 6:00:00 AM 44.5%
8/1/2026, 5:00:00 AM 44.5%
8/1/2026, 4:00:00 AM 44.5%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 AM 44.5%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 AM 44.5%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 AM 44.5%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 AM 44.5%
7/31/2026, 11:00:00 PM 44.5%
7/31/2026, 10:00:00 PM 44.5%
7/31/2026, 9:45:00 PM 44.5%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 PM 44.5%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 PM 44.5%
7/31/2026, 7:00:00 PM 44.5%
7/31/2026, 6:00:00 PM 44.5%
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM 44.5%
7/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM 44.5%
7/31/2026, 3:00:00 PM 44.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$112.6K

Volume vs Baseline

9.9x baseline

Liquidity

$437.2K

Market Significance

High (86)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 300 days

End Date

May 30, 2027

Attention Score

69

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 43/100.

Probability Momentum 3
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 91
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

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