Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Open · Resolves in 296 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

15.0%

24h Change

+3.5 pp

Signal Score

53/100

Data Confidence

High (85)

24h probability rose 3.5pp; volume is 5.7x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-07 09:37 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 3.5pp
  • 24h volume is 5.7x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $204,801

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 15.0% · Aug 7, 09:30 AM

11% 14% 16% Aug 6 Aug 6 Aug 7 Aug 7 Current 15.0% · 7d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

15.0%

24h Change

+3.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

145 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 7, 09:30 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/7/2026, 9:30:00 AM 15.0%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM 15.0%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM 13.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM 14.0%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 AM 14.0%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 AM 14.5%
8/7/2026, 4:30:00 AM 14.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 AM 14.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 AM 11.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 AM 11.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 AM 11.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 AM 11.5%
8/6/2026, 11:00:00 PM 11.5%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 PM 11.5%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 PM 11.5%
8/6/2026, 8:00:00 PM 11.5%
8/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM 11.5%
8/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM 11.5%
8/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM 11.5%
8/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM 11.5%
8/6/2026, 3:00:00 PM 11.5%
8/6/2026, 2:00:00 PM 11.5%
8/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM 11.5%
8/6/2026, 12:00:00 PM 11.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+1.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$64.9K

Volume vs Baseline

5.7x baseline

Liquidity

$204.8K

Market Significance

High (84)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 296 days

End Date

May 30, 2027

Attention Score

71

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 53/100.

Probability Momentum 12
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 88
Persistence 66
Data Confidence High (85)

Next Steps

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