Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

Unchanged

Signal Score

24/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

volume is 1.5x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 33 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-18 22:28 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability was effectively unchanged
  • 24h volume is 1.5x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $855,070

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

0.1%

24h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$158.8K

Volume vs Baseline

1.5x baseline

Liquidity

$855.1K

Market Significance

High (82)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 15, 2026

Attention Score

32

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 24/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 27
Liquidity Quality 92
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

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