Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?

Open · Resolves in 149 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

33.0%

24h Change

+8.5 pp

Signal Score

51/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability rose 8.5pp; volume is 4.9x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-02 11:46 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability rose 8.5pp
24h volume is 4.9x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $5,578

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

33.0%

24h Change

+8.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

110 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 2, 11:45 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/2/2026, 11:45:00 AM	33.0%
8/2/2026, 11:00:00 AM	36.0%
8/2/2026, 10:00:00 AM	34.5%
8/2/2026, 9:00:00 AM	34.5%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 AM	38.5%
8/2/2026, 7:30:00 AM	36.0%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 AM	36.0%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 AM	30.5%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 AM	30.0%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 AM	38.5%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 AM	34.5%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 PM	29.5%
8/1/2026, 9:00:00 PM	35.5%
8/1/2026, 8:00:00 PM	40.5%
8/1/2026, 7:00:00 PM	38.0%
8/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM	36.5%
8/1/2026, 5:00:00 PM	34.0%
8/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM	33.0%
8/1/2026, 3:30:00 PM	34.0%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM	34.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$55.2K

Volume vs Baseline

4.9x baseline

Liquidity

$5.6K

Market Significance

High (70)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 149 days

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 51/100.

Probability Momentum 28

Volume Activity 99

Liquidity Quality 77

Persistence 10

Data Confidence High (78)

Next Steps

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