Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

Open · Resolves in 28 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

1.1%

24h Change

+0.1 pp

Signal Score

32/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability rose 0.1pp; volume is 2.8x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-03 09:27 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability rose 0.1pp
24h volume is 2.8x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $107,627

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

1.1%

24h Change

+0.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

127 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 3, 09:15 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/3/2026, 9:15:00 AM	1.1%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 AM	1.1%
8/3/2026, 8:45:00 AM	1.1%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM	1.1%
8/3/2026, 7:30:00 AM	1.1%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 AM	1.2%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 AM	1.2%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 AM	1.1%
8/3/2026, 4:00:00 AM	1.1%
8/3/2026, 3:00:00 AM	1.1%
8/3/2026, 2:00:00 AM	1.1%
8/3/2026, 1:00:00 AM	1.2%
8/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM	1.3%
8/2/2026, 11:00:00 PM	1.3%
8/2/2026, 10:00:00 PM	1.3%
8/2/2026, 9:00:00 PM	1.3%
8/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM	1.3%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 PM	1.3%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM	1.4%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM	1.5%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM	1.1%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 PM	1.1%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM	1.1%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM	1.1%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$43.2K

Volume vs Baseline

2.8x baseline

Liquidity

$107.6K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 28 days

End Date

Aug 31, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 32/100.

Probability Momentum 1

Volume Activity 65

Liquidity Quality 86

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

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