Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
Current Probability
100.0%
24h Change
+2.3 pp
Signal Score
55/100
Data Confidence
High (88)
24h probability rose 2.3pp; volume is 28.2x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability rose 2.3pp
- 24h volume is 28.2x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $94,642
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
100.0%
24h Change
+2.3 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
+3.0 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$233.1K
Volume vs Baseline
28.2x baseline
Liquidity
$94.6K
Market Significance
High (76)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Attention Score
71
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 55/100.