Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?

BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2: Winner

Open View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

79.5%

24h Change

+14.0 pp

Signal Score

55/100

Data Confidence

High (83)

24h probability rose 14.0pp; volume is 2.5x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-02 07:40 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 14.0pp
  • 24h volume is 2.5x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $98,149

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 79.5% · Aug 2, 07:30 AM

44% 64% 83% Aug 1 Aug 1 Aug 1 Aug 2 Current 79.5% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

79.5%

24h Change

+14.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

99 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 2, 07:30 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/2/2026, 7:30:00 AM 79.5%
8/2/2026, 7:00:00 AM 79.5%
8/2/2026, 6:00:00 AM 78.5%
8/2/2026, 5:00:00 AM 78.0%
8/2/2026, 4:00:00 AM 78.0%
8/2/2026, 3:00:00 AM 78.0%
8/2/2026, 2:00:00 AM 78.0%
8/2/2026, 1:00:00 AM 78.5%
8/2/2026, 12:00:00 AM 78.5%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 PM 78.5%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 PM 78.5%
8/1/2026, 9:00:00 PM 78.0%
8/1/2026, 8:00:00 PM 78.0%
8/1/2026, 7:00:00 PM 78.5%
8/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM 77.5%
8/1/2026, 5:00:00 PM 75.5%
8/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM 79.0%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM 76.5%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM 76.5%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 PM 72.0%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 AM 62.5%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 AM 64.0%
8/1/2026, 9:00:00 AM 64.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+1.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$87.3K

Volume vs Baseline

2.5x baseline

Liquidity

$98.1K

Market Significance

High (80)

Market Status

Open

End Date

Attention Score

60

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 55/100.

Probability Momentum 47
Volume Activity 56
Liquidity Quality 89
Persistence 44
Data Confidence High (83)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.