US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
Current Probability
0.1%
24h Change
-0.4 pp
Signal Score
23/100
Data Confidence
High (84)
24h probability fell 0.4pp; volume is 0.5x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 0.4pp
- 24h volume is 0.5x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $98,185
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
0.1%
24h Change
-0.4 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-0.1 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$141.0K
Volume vs Baseline
0.5x baseline
Liquidity
$98.2K
Market Significance
High (81)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Attention Score
19
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 23/100.