US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Current Probability
3.0%
24h Change
+1.3 pp
Signal Score
28/100
Data Confidence
High (79)
24h probability rose 1.2pp; volume is 2.1x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability rose 1.2pp
- 24h volume is 2.1x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $177,431
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
3.0%
24h Change
+1.3 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-0.1 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$83.1K
Volume vs Baseline
2.1x baseline
Liquidity
$177.4K
Market Significance
High (73)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Attention Score
42
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 28/100.