Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

Unchanged

Signal Score

16/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability fell 0.0pp; volume is 1.0x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-01 20:14 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 0.0pp
24h volume is 1.0x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $144,649

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

111 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 1, 08:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/1/2026, 8:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/1/2026, 7:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/1/2026, 5:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/1/2026, 3:30:00 PM	0.1%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/1/2026, 11:45:00 AM	0.1%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/1/2026, 9:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/1/2026, 8:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/1/2026, 7:30:00 AM	0.1%
8/1/2026, 7:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/1/2026, 6:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/1/2026, 5:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/1/2026, 4:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 AM	0.1%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 AM	0.1%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$60.2K

Volume vs Baseline

1.0x baseline

Liquidity

$144.6K

Market Significance

High (79)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jul 31, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 16/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 88

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

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