Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Current Probability
0.4%
24h Change
-2.3 pp
Signal Score
42/100
Data Confidence
High (79)
24h probability fell 2.2pp; volume is 4.7x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 2.2pp
- 24h volume is 4.7x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $131,129
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
0.4%
24h Change
-2.3 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
+0.1 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$74.8K
Volume vs Baseline
4.7x baseline
Liquidity
$131.1K
Market Significance
High (73)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Attention Score
68
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 42/100.