Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-07-30?
South Melbourne FC vs. Adelaide United FC
Current Probability
0.1%
24h Change
-45.5 pp
Signal Score
86/100
Data Confidence
High (80)
24h probability fell 45.5pp; volume is 219.6x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 45.5pp
- 24h volume is 219.6x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $100,697
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Current
0.1%
24h Change
-45.5 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
View history table
| Time | Probability |
|---|---|
| 7/30/2026, 1:15:00 PM | 0.1% |
| 7/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM | 0.1% |
| 7/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 0.1% |
| 7/30/2026, 11:00:00 AM | 9.5% |
| 7/30/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 68.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 9:00:00 AM | 44.5% |
| 7/30/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 50.5% |
| 7/30/2026, 7:00:00 AM | 49.5% |
| 7/30/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 50.5% |
| 7/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM | 47.0% |
| 7/30/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 46.5% |
| 7/30/2026, 3:00:00 AM | 46.5% |
| 7/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM | 45.5% |
| 7/30/2026, 1:00:00 AM | 45.5% |
| 7/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM | 45.5% |
| 7/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM | 45.5% |
| 7/29/2026, 10:00:00 PM | 45.5% |
| 7/29/2026, 9:00:00 PM | 45.5% |
| 7/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 45.5% |
| 7/29/2026, 7:00:00 PM | 45.0% |
| 7/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 45.5% |
| 7/29/2026, 1:00:00 PM | 45.5% |
| 7/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 45.5% |
| 7/29/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 45.5% |
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
Unchanged
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$37.0K
Volume vs Baseline
219.6x baseline
Liquidity
$100.7K
Market Significance
High (78)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Jul 30, 2026
Attention Score
97
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 86/100.
Probability Momentum
Strength of recent probability movement 100
Volume Activity
Trading activity versus the recent baseline 100
Liquidity Quality
Depth available to absorb orders without large price impact 86
Persistence
Whether the move holds across more than one lookback window 20
Data Confidence
Independent quality score for history coverage and data reliability High (80)