Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?

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Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

Unchanged

Signal Score

18/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

volume is 1.1x the prior 6-day daily average

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 20 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-03 22:25 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability was effectively unchanged
  • 24h volume is 1.1x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $66,576

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

100.0%

24h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$115.8K

Volume vs Baseline

1.1x baseline

Liquidity

$66.6K

Market Significance

High (80)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 31, 2026

Attention Score

21

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 18/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 7
Liquidity Quality 89
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

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