Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
Current Probability
99.8%
24h Change
+94.8 pp
Signal Score
89/100
Data Confidence
High (82)
24h probability rose 94.8pp; volume is 59.3x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability rose 94.8pp
- 24h volume is 59.3x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $16,117
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
99.8%
24h Change
+94.8 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
+0.4 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$125.8K
Volume vs Baseline
59.3x baseline
Liquidity
$16.1K
Market Significance
High (76)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Jul 26, 2026
Attention Score
97
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 89/100.