US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?

US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by...?

Open · Resolves in 28 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

5.5%

24h Change

-7.6 pp

Signal Score

26/100

Data Confidence

Medium (69)

24h probability fell 7.6pp

Market data

Updated 14 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-21 10:44 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $48,294
  • Medium data confidence (69)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (3d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

5.5%

24h Change

-7.6 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

3d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+1.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$65.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$48.3K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 28 days

End Date

Aug 31, 2026

Attention Score

25

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 26/100.

Probability Momentum 25
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 86
Persistence 10
Data Confidence Medium (69)

Next Steps

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