Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 21 - July 28, 2026?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

99.5%

24h Change

+22.5 pp

Signal Score

75/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability rose 22.5pp; volume is 19.8x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-30 07:42 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 22.5pp
  • 24h volume is 19.8x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Low liquidity ($958)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 99.5% · Jul 30, 07:30 AM

84% 92% 100% Jul 29 Jul 29 Jul 29 Jul 30 Current 99.5% · 7d of stored history · 20 pts

Current

99.5%

24h Change

+22.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

30 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 30, 07:30 AM

View history table
Time Probability
7/30/2026, 7:30:00 AM 99.5%
7/30/2026, 7:00:00 AM 99.2%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 AM 99.0%
7/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM 92.8%
7/30/2026, 4:00:00 AM 92.8%
7/30/2026, 3:00:00 AM 92.7%
7/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM 92.7%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 AM 92.7%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM 92.7%
7/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM 92.7%
7/29/2026, 10:00:00 PM 92.5%
7/29/2026, 9:00:00 PM 92.7%
7/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM 92.5%
7/29/2026, 7:00:00 PM 92.0%
7/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM 94.5%
7/29/2026, 1:00:00 PM 94.5%
7/29/2026, 11:00:00 AM 94.5%
7/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM 94.5%
7/29/2026, 9:00:00 AM 85.0%
7/29/2026, 8:00:00 AM 87.5%
7/29/2026, 4:00:00 AM 77.0%
7/29/2026, 1:00:00 AM 97.9%
7/28/2026, 8:00:00 PM 97.9%
7/28/2026, 7:00:00 PM 97.9%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+0.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$32.5K

Volume vs Baseline

19.8x baseline

Liquidity

$958

Market Significance

Moderate (66)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jul 28, 2026

Attention Score

86

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 75/100.

Probability Momentum 75
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 69
Persistence 41
Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.