Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?

New York City FC vs. Toronto FC

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Current Probability

58.5%

24h Change

Unchanged

Signal Score

42/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability fell 0.0pp; volume is 38.0x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-31 21:48 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 0.0pp
24h volume is 38.0x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $291,062

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

58.5%

24h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

83 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 31, 09:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
7/31/2026, 9:45:00 PM	58.5%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 PM	57.5%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 PM	57.5%
7/31/2026, 7:00:00 PM	57.5%
7/31/2026, 6:00:00 PM	57.5%
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM	58.5%
7/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM	58.5%
7/31/2026, 3:00:00 PM	58.5%
7/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM	57.5%
7/31/2026, 1:00:00 PM	57.5%
7/31/2026, 12:00:00 PM	58.5%
7/31/2026, 11:00:00 AM	58.5%
7/31/2026, 10:00:00 AM	58.5%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 AM	58.5%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 AM	58.5%
7/31/2026, 7:00:00 AM	58.5%
7/31/2026, 6:00:00 AM	58.5%
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 AM	58.5%
7/31/2026, 4:00:00 AM	58.5%
7/31/2026, 3:00:00 AM	58.5%
7/31/2026, 2:00:00 AM	58.5%
7/31/2026, 1:00:00 AM	58.5%
7/31/2026, 12:00:00 AM	58.5%
7/30/2026, 11:00:00 PM	58.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+1.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$160.2K

Volume vs Baseline

38.0x baseline

Liquidity

$291.1K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jul 31, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 42/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 92

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

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