US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by...?
Current Probability
100.0%
24h Change
Unchanged
Signal Score
16/100
Data Confidence
High (80)
24h probability fell 0.0pp; volume is 0.9x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 0.0pp
- 24h volume is 0.9x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $5,686,387
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Current
100.0%
24h Change
Unchanged
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
View history table
| Time | Probability |
|---|---|
| 7/29/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 100.0% |
| 7/29/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 100.0% |
| 7/29/2026, 3:00:00 AM | 100.0% |
| 7/29/2026, 1:00:00 AM | 100.0% |
| 7/28/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 100.0% |
| 7/28/2026, 7:00:00 PM | 100.0% |
| 7/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM | 100.0% |
| 7/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM | 100.0% |
| 7/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 100.0% |
| 7/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM | 100.0% |
| 7/28/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 100.0% |
| 7/28/2026, 1:00:00 PM | 100.0% |
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
Unchanged
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$37.3K
Volume vs Baseline
0.9x baseline
Liquidity
$5.7M
Market Significance
High (71)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 12 days
End Date
Aug 15, 2026
Attention Score
17
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 16/100.