UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Aleksandar Rakic (Heavyweight, Main Card)

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Current Probability

23.5%

24h Change

Unchanged

Signal Score

41/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability fell 0.0pp; volume is 123.8x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-01 15:43 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 0.0pp
24h volume is 123.8x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $57,757

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

23.5%

24h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

90 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 1, 03:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/1/2026, 3:30:00 PM	23.5%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM	23.5%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM	50.0%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 PM	23.5%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 PM	23.5%
8/1/2026, 11:45:00 AM	23.5%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 AM	23.5%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 AM	23.5%
8/1/2026, 9:00:00 AM	23.5%
8/1/2026, 8:00:00 AM	23.5%
8/1/2026, 7:30:00 AM	23.5%
8/1/2026, 7:00:00 AM	23.5%
8/1/2026, 6:00:00 AM	23.5%
8/1/2026, 5:00:00 AM	23.5%
8/1/2026, 4:00:00 AM	22.5%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 AM	22.5%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 AM	22.5%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 AM	22.5%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 AM	21.5%
7/31/2026, 11:00:00 PM	23.0%
7/31/2026, 10:00:00 PM	23.0%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 PM	23.5%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 PM	23.5%
7/31/2026, 7:00:00 PM	23.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-26.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$74.0K

Volume vs Baseline

123.8x baseline

Liquidity

$57.8K

Market Significance

High (71)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 2, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 41/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 87

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (80)

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