O/U 1.5 Rounds
UFC Fight Night: Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira (Welterweight, Prelims)
Current Probability
0.4%
24h Change
-61.6 pp
Signal Score
86/100
Data Confidence
High (80)
24h probability fell 61.6pp; volume is 584.9x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 61.6pp
- 24h volume is 584.9x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $28,673
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Current
0.4%
24h Change
-61.6 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
View history table
| Time | Probability |
|---|---|
| 8/1/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 0.4% |
| 8/1/2026, 7:00:00 PM | 0.4% |
| 8/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM | 0.5% |
| 8/1/2026, 5:00:00 PM | 0.5% |
| 8/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 66.5% |
| 8/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM | 63.5% |
| 8/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 62.0% |
| 8/1/2026, 1:00:00 PM | 61.5% |
| 8/1/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 61.5% |
| 8/1/2026, 11:00:00 AM | 61.5% |
| 8/1/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 61.5% |
| 8/1/2026, 9:00:00 AM | 61.5% |
| 8/1/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 61.5% |
| 8/1/2026, 7:00:00 AM | 61.5% |
| 8/1/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 61.5% |
| 8/1/2026, 5:00:00 AM | 61.5% |
| 8/1/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 61.5% |
| 8/1/2026, 3:00:00 AM | 61.5% |
| 8/1/2026, 2:00:00 AM | 61.5% |
| 8/1/2026, 1:00:00 AM | 61.5% |
| 8/1/2026, 12:00:00 AM | 62.0% |
| 7/31/2026, 11:00:00 PM | 61.5% |
| 7/31/2026, 10:00:00 PM | 62.0% |
| 7/31/2026, 9:00:00 PM | 62.0% |
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
Unchanged
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$129.1K
Volume vs Baseline
584.9x baseline
Liquidity
$28.7K
Market Significance
High (71)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Aug 2, 2026
Attention Score
97
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 86/100.