UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)

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Current Probability

1.5%

24h Change

-35.0 pp

Signal Score

98/100

Data Confidence

High (88)

24h probability fell 35.0pp; volume is 263.6x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-01 15:43 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 35.0pp
24h volume is 263.6x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $26,537

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

1.5%

24h Change

-35.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

101 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 1, 03:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/1/2026, 3:30:00 PM	1.5%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 PM	34.5%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM	35.5%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 PM	36.5%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 PM	36.5%
8/1/2026, 11:00:00 AM	36.5%
8/1/2026, 10:00:00 AM	36.5%
8/1/2026, 9:00:00 AM	36.5%
8/1/2026, 8:00:00 AM	36.5%
8/1/2026, 7:00:00 AM	36.5%
8/1/2026, 6:00:00 AM	36.5%
8/1/2026, 5:00:00 AM	36.5%
8/1/2026, 4:00:00 AM	36.5%
8/1/2026, 3:00:00 AM	37.5%
8/1/2026, 2:00:00 AM	37.5%
8/1/2026, 1:00:00 AM	37.5%
8/1/2026, 12:00:00 AM	37.5%
7/31/2026, 11:00:00 PM	36.5%
7/31/2026, 10:00:00 PM	36.5%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 PM	36.5%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 PM	36.5%
7/31/2026, 7:00:00 PM	36.5%
7/31/2026, 6:00:00 PM	36.5%
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM	36.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-34.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$359.6K

Volume vs Baseline

263.6x baseline

Liquidity

$26.5K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 2, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 98/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 91

Persistence 98

Data Confidence High (88)

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