Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?

Iran invades Kuwait by...?

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Current Probability

1.5%

24h Change

-0.5 pp

Signal Score

28/100

Data Confidence

Medium (68)

24h probability fell 0.5pp

Market data

Updated 14 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-21 10:44 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $99,358
  • Medium data confidence (68)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (1d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

1.5%

24h Change

-0.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

1d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$84.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$99.4K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jul 31, 2026

Attention Score

18

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 28/100.

Probability Momentum 2
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 89
Persistence 95
Data Confidence Medium (68)

Next Steps

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