Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.5%

24h Change

+0.3 pp

Signal Score

40/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability rose 0.3pp; volume is 4.5x the prior 6-day daily average

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 17 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-09-06 13:28 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 0.3pp
  • 24h volume is 4.5x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $45,233

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

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Current

0.5%

24h Change

+0.3 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$104.6K

Volume vs Baseline

4.5x baseline

Liquidity

$45.2K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Oct 1, 2026

Attention Score

65

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 40/100.

Probability Momentum 1
Volume Activity 94
Liquidity Quality 87
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

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