Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets July 24 - July 31, 2026?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-0.6 pp

Signal Score

49/100

Data Confidence

High (85)

24h probability fell 0.6pp; volume is 7.9x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 6 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-29 08:04 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 0.6pp
  • 24h volume is 7.9x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $40,254

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Jul 29, 08:00 AM

0% 3% 2% Jul 28 Jul 28 Jul 29 Jul 29 Current 0.1% · 7d of stored history · 21 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-0.6 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

21 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 29, 08:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
7/29/2026, 8:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/29/2026, 7:00:00 AM 0.4%
7/29/2026, 6:00:00 AM 0.9%
7/29/2026, 5:00:00 AM 0.7%
7/29/2026, 4:00:00 AM 0.5%
7/29/2026, 3:00:00 AM 0.7%
7/29/2026, 2:00:00 AM 0.5%
7/29/2026, 1:00:00 AM 0.5%
7/29/2026, 12:00:00 AM 0.4%
7/28/2026, 11:00:00 PM 1.6%
7/28/2026, 10:00:00 PM 0.8%
7/28/2026, 9:00:00 PM 0.5%
7/28/2026, 8:00:00 PM 0.9%
7/28/2026, 7:00:00 PM 0.7%
7/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM 0.8%
7/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM 0.7%
7/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM 0.4%
7/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM 1.3%
7/28/2026, 2:00:00 PM 1.1%
7/28/2026, 1:00:00 PM 1.3%
7/28/2026, 12:00:00 PM 1.3%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.3 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$78.1K

Volume vs Baseline

7.9x baseline

Liquidity

$40.3K

Market Significance

High (70)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jul 31, 2026

Attention Score

68

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 49/100.

Probability Momentum 2
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 86
Persistence 70
Data Confidence High (85)

Next Steps

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