Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets July 24 - July 31, 2026?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-33.5 pp

Signal Score

87/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability fell 33.5pp; volume is 11.7x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 5 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-30 07:42 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 33.5pp
24h volume is 11.7x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $71,339

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-33.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

32 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 30, 07:30 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
7/30/2026, 7:30:00 AM	0.1%
7/30/2026, 7:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/30/2026, 4:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/30/2026, 3:00:00 AM	0.4%
7/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM	2.3%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 AM	2.9%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM	2.1%
7/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM	2.9%
7/29/2026, 10:00:00 PM	3.0%
7/29/2026, 9:00:00 PM	1.8%
7/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM	4.4%
7/29/2026, 7:00:00 PM	5.1%
7/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM	15.5%
7/29/2026, 1:00:00 PM	28.5%
7/29/2026, 11:00:00 AM	25.5%
7/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM	28.5%
7/29/2026, 9:00:00 AM	27.5%
7/29/2026, 8:00:00 AM	28.5%
7/29/2026, 4:00:00 AM	33.5%
7/29/2026, 3:00:00 AM	32.5%
7/29/2026, 2:00:00 AM	31.5%
7/29/2026, 1:00:00 AM	31.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$152.8K

Volume vs Baseline

11.7x baseline

Liquidity

$71.3K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jul 31, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 87/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 91

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

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