Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets July 24 - July 31, 2026?

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Current Probability

46.5%

24h Change

+7.7 pp

Signal Score

59/100

Data Confidence

High (86)

24h probability rose 7.7pp; volume is 3.9x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-30 18:59 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability rose 7.7pp
24h volume is 3.9x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $18,625

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

46.5%

24h Change

+7.7 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

55 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 30, 06:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
7/30/2026, 6:45:00 PM	46.5%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM	41.9%
7/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM	37.3%
7/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM	29.5%
7/30/2026, 3:00:00 PM	39.6%
7/30/2026, 2:00:00 PM	40.4%
7/30/2026, 1:15:00 PM	38.9%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM	38.5%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM	37.1%
7/30/2026, 11:00:00 AM	38.6%
7/30/2026, 10:00:00 AM	36.9%
7/30/2026, 9:00:00 AM	36.4%
7/30/2026, 8:00:00 AM	33.3%
7/30/2026, 7:30:00 AM	32.8%
7/30/2026, 7:00:00 AM	34.8%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 AM	29.0%
7/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM	34.4%
7/30/2026, 4:00:00 AM	33.0%
7/30/2026, 3:00:00 AM	42.4%
7/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM	46.1%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 AM	45.9%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM	44.6%
7/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM	44.6%
7/29/2026, 10:00:00 PM	44.2%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+9.2 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$78.3K

Volume vs Baseline

3.9x baseline

Liquidity

$18.6K

Market Significance

Moderate (68)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jul 31, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 59/100.

Probability Momentum 26

Volume Activity 84

Liquidity Quality 83

Persistence 90

Data Confidence High (86)

Next Steps

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