Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets July 24 - July 31, 2026?

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Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+52.5 pp

Signal Score

87/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability rose 52.5pp; volume is 8.6x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-31 17:12 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability rose 52.5pp
  • 24h volume is 8.6x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $79,032

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 100.0% · Jul 31, 05:00 PM

30% 65% 100% Jul 30 Jul 31 Jul 31 Jul 31 Current 100.0% · 7d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+52.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

69 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 31, 05:00 PM

View history table
Time Probability
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM 100.0%
7/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM 100.0%
7/31/2026, 3:00:00 PM 92.5%
7/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM 85.0%
7/31/2026, 1:00:00 PM 81.8%
7/31/2026, 12:00:00 PM 83.0%
7/31/2026, 11:00:00 AM 81.2%
7/31/2026, 10:00:00 AM 81.5%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 AM 81.5%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 AM 81.5%
7/31/2026, 7:00:00 AM 73.5%
7/31/2026, 6:00:00 AM 66.1%
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 AM 72.3%
7/31/2026, 4:00:00 AM 66.1%
7/31/2026, 3:00:00 AM 51.2%
7/31/2026, 2:00:00 AM 51.3%
7/31/2026, 1:00:00 AM 52.5%
7/31/2026, 12:00:00 AM 51.4%
7/30/2026, 11:00:00 PM 50.1%
7/30/2026, 10:00:00 PM 39.1%
7/30/2026, 9:00:00 PM 36.3%
7/30/2026, 8:00:00 PM 42.5%
7/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM 42.6%
7/30/2026, 6:45:00 PM 42.6%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$180.1K

Volume vs Baseline

8.6x baseline

Liquidity

$79.0K

Market Significance

High (82)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jul 31, 2026

Attention Score

98

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 87/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 100
Liquidity Quality 92
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

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