Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets July 24 - July 31, 2026?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-14.0 pp

Signal Score

63/100

Data Confidence

High (81)

24h probability fell 14.0pp; volume is 12.6x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-31 17:12 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 14.0pp
24h volume is 12.6x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $81,004

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-14.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

59 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 31, 05:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 3:00:00 PM	7.5%
7/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM	14.3%
7/31/2026, 1:00:00 PM	18.0%
7/31/2026, 12:00:00 PM	15.8%
7/31/2026, 11:00:00 AM	16.0%
7/31/2026, 10:00:00 AM	17.5%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 AM	18.4%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 AM	17.6%
7/31/2026, 7:00:00 AM	23.4%
7/31/2026, 6:00:00 AM	31.3%
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 AM	17.8%
7/31/2026, 4:00:00 AM	16.3%
7/31/2026, 3:00:00 AM	5.1%
7/31/2026, 2:00:00 AM	8.6%
7/31/2026, 1:00:00 AM	10.2%
7/31/2026, 12:00:00 AM	9.4%
7/30/2026, 11:00:00 PM	13.3%
7/30/2026, 10:00:00 PM	6.4%
7/30/2026, 9:00:00 PM	7.0%
7/30/2026, 8:00:00 PM	7.6%
7/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM	8.8%
7/30/2026, 6:45:00 PM	8.8%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$364.4K

Volume vs Baseline

12.6x baseline

Liquidity

$81.0K

Market Significance

High (83)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jul 31, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 63/100.

Probability Momentum 47

Volume Activity 100

Liquidity Quality 95

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (81)

Next Steps

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