Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets July 24 - July 31, 2026?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-0.3 pp

Signal Score

36/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability fell 0.3pp; volume is 3.6x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 3 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-31 17:12 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability fell 0.3pp
24h volume is 3.6x the prior 6-day daily average
Liquidity depth $40,933

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-0.3 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

74 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 31, 05:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 4:00:00 PM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 3:00:00 PM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 1:00:00 PM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 12:00:00 PM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 11:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 10:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 7:00:00 AM	0.4%
7/31/2026, 6:00:00 AM	0.8%
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 AM	0.4%
7/31/2026, 4:00:00 AM	0.5%
7/31/2026, 3:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 2:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/31/2026, 1:00:00 AM	0.3%
7/31/2026, 12:00:00 AM	0.1%
7/30/2026, 11:00:00 PM	0.3%
7/30/2026, 10:00:00 PM	0.3%
7/30/2026, 9:00:00 PM	0.3%
7/30/2026, 8:00:00 PM	0.3%
7/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM	0.4%
7/30/2026, 6:45:00 PM	0.4%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$95.2K

Volume vs Baseline

3.6x baseline

Liquidity

$40.9K

Market Significance

High (78)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jul 31, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 36/100.

Probability Momentum 1

Volume Activity 79

Liquidity Quality 87

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

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