Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets July 24 - July 31, 2026?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-0.1 pp

Signal Score

40/100

Data Confidence

High (80)

24h probability fell 0.1pp; volume is 4.5x the prior 6-day daily average

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-31 10:05 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h probability fell 0.1pp
  • 24h volume is 4.5x the prior 6-day daily average
  • Liquidity depth $69,938

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Jul 31, 10:00 AM

0% 3% 1% Jul 30 Jul 30 Jul 31 Jul 31 Current 0.1% · 7d of stored history · 27 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-0.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

52 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 31, 10:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
7/31/2026, 10:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/31/2026, 9:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/31/2026, 8:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/31/2026, 7:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/31/2026, 6:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/31/2026, 5:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/31/2026, 4:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/31/2026, 3:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/31/2026, 2:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/31/2026, 1:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/31/2026, 12:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 11:00:00 PM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 10:00:00 PM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 9:00:00 PM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 8:00:00 PM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 6:45:00 PM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 3:00:00 PM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 2:00:00 PM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 1:15:00 PM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM 0.1%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$103.3K

Volume vs Baseline

4.5x baseline

Liquidity

$69.9K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jul 31, 2026

Attention Score

65

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 40/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 94
Liquidity Quality 89
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (80)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.