Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 29?

Ethereum above ___ on July 29?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

98.8%

24h Change

+4.1 pp

Signal Score

25/100

Data Confidence

High (71)

24h probability rose 4.1pp

Market data

Updated 6 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-29 08:04 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $15,554
  • High data confidence (71)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 98.8% · Jul 29, 08:00 AM

89% 94% 100% Jul 28 Jul 28 Jul 29 Jul 29 Current 98.8% · 7d of stored history · 21 pts

Current

98.8%

24h Change

+4.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

21 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 29, 08:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
7/29/2026, 8:00:00 AM 98.8%
7/29/2026, 7:00:00 AM 98.5%
7/29/2026, 6:00:00 AM 98.6%
7/29/2026, 5:00:00 AM 98.7%
7/29/2026, 4:00:00 AM 98.3%
7/29/2026, 3:00:00 AM 98.9%
7/29/2026, 2:00:00 AM 98.5%
7/29/2026, 1:00:00 AM 98.8%
7/29/2026, 12:00:00 AM 98.8%
7/28/2026, 11:00:00 PM 97.9%
7/28/2026, 10:00:00 PM 98.5%
7/28/2026, 9:00:00 PM 98.1%
7/28/2026, 8:00:00 PM 98.2%
7/28/2026, 7:00:00 PM 97.4%
7/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM 96.7%
7/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM 97.5%
7/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM 97.5%
7/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM 94.8%
7/28/2026, 2:00:00 PM 90.0%
7/28/2026, 1:00:00 PM 95.3%
7/28/2026, 12:00:00 PM 91.9%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+0.3 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$27.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$15.6K

Market Significance

Moderate (65)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jul 29, 2026

Attention Score

20

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 25/100.

Probability Momentum 14
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 78
Persistence 44
Data Confidence High (71)

Next Steps

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