Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 30?

Bitcoin above ___ on July 30?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-1.2 pp

Signal Score

16/100

Data Confidence

Medium (69)

24h probability fell 1.2pp

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-30 13:18 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $38,820
  • Medium data confidence (69)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Jul 30, 01:15 PM

0% 3% 2% Jul 29 Jul 29 Jul 30 Jul 30 Current 0.1% · 7d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-1.2 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

52 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 30, 01:15 PM

View history table
Time Probability
7/30/2026, 1:15:00 PM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 11:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 10:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 9:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 8:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 7:30:00 AM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 7:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 4:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 3:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 AM 0.2%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM 0.1%
7/29/2026, 10:00:00 PM 0.1%
7/29/2026, 9:00:00 PM 0.1%
7/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM 0.4%
7/29/2026, 7:00:00 PM 1.1%
7/29/2026, 6:00:00 PM 1.0%
7/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM 0.7%
7/29/2026, 4:00:00 PM 1.2%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+0.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$95.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$38.8K

Market Significance

High (71)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jul 30, 2026

Attention Score

19

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 16/100.

Probability Momentum 4
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 86
Persistence 10
Data Confidence Medium (69)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.