Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 30?

Bitcoin above ___ on July 30?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.3%

24h Change

-0.4 pp

Signal Score

21/100

Data Confidence

High (73)

24h probability fell 0.4pp

Market data

Updated 6 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-29 08:04 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $19,690
  • High data confidence (73)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.3% · Jul 29, 08:00 AM

0% 3% 1% Jul 28 Jul 28 Jul 29 Jul 29 Current 0.3% · 6d of stored history · 21 pts

Current

0.3%

24h Change

-0.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

6d of stored history

21 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 29, 08:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
7/29/2026, 8:00:00 AM 0.3%
7/29/2026, 7:00:00 AM 0.4%
7/29/2026, 6:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/29/2026, 5:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/29/2026, 4:00:00 AM 0.1%
7/29/2026, 3:00:00 AM 0.4%
7/29/2026, 2:00:00 AM 0.4%
7/29/2026, 1:00:00 AM 0.4%
7/29/2026, 12:00:00 AM 0.4%
7/28/2026, 11:00:00 PM 0.5%
7/28/2026, 10:00:00 PM 0.5%
7/28/2026, 9:00:00 PM 0.5%
7/28/2026, 8:00:00 PM 0.5%
7/28/2026, 7:00:00 PM 0.5%
7/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM 0.9%
7/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM 0.9%
7/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM 0.5%
7/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM 0.4%
7/28/2026, 2:00:00 PM 0.4%
7/28/2026, 1:00:00 PM 0.4%
7/28/2026, 12:00:00 PM 0.4%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.1 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$53.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$19.7K

Market Significance

Moderate (67)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Jul 30, 2026

Attention Score

17

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 21/100.

Probability Momentum 1
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 82
Persistence 57
Data Confidence High (73)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.