Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Open · Resolves in 3 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

31.5%

24h Change

-21.0 pp

Signal Score

58/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability fell 21.0pp

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-30 18:59 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $293,121
High data confidence (78)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

31.5%

24h Change

-21.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

6d of stored history

43 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 30, 06:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
7/30/2026, 6:45:00 PM	31.5%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM	48.5%
7/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM	47.5%
7/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM	47.5%
7/30/2026, 3:00:00 PM	47.5%
7/30/2026, 2:00:00 PM	47.5%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM	47.5%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM	47.5%
7/30/2026, 11:00:00 AM	47.5%
7/30/2026, 10:00:00 AM	47.5%
7/30/2026, 9:00:00 AM	47.5%
7/30/2026, 8:00:00 AM	47.5%
7/30/2026, 7:00:00 AM	47.5%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 AM	48.5%
7/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM	48.5%
7/30/2026, 4:00:00 AM	48.5%
7/30/2026, 3:00:00 AM	48.5%
7/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM	47.5%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 AM	47.5%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM	47.5%
7/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM	47.5%
7/29/2026, 10:00:00 PM	47.5%
7/29/2026, 9:00:00 PM	48.5%
7/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM	52.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-16.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$261.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$293.1K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 3 days

End Date

Aug 6, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 58/100.

Probability Momentum 70

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 94

Persistence 86

Data Confidence High (78)

Next Steps

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