San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres

Open · Resolves in 3 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

40.5%

24h Change

-3.0 pp

Signal Score

21/100

Data Confidence

High (70)

24h probability fell 3.0pp

Market data

Updated 4 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-07-30 18:59 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $337,226
  • High data confidence (70)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 40.5% · Jul 30, 06:45 PM

40% 43% 47% Jul 29 Jul 30 Jul 30 Jul 30 Current 40.5% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

40.5%

24h Change

-3.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

6d of stored history

56 stored snapshots · Latest sample Jul 30, 06:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
7/30/2026, 6:45:00 PM 40.5%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM 40.5%
7/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM 40.5%
7/30/2026, 4:00:00 PM 41.5%
7/30/2026, 3:00:00 PM 42.5%
7/30/2026, 2:00:00 PM 42.5%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM 44.5%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM 44.5%
7/30/2026, 11:00:00 AM 44.5%
7/30/2026, 10:00:00 AM 45.5%
7/30/2026, 9:00:00 AM 45.5%
7/30/2026, 8:00:00 AM 45.5%
7/30/2026, 7:00:00 AM 45.5%
7/30/2026, 6:00:00 AM 45.5%
7/30/2026, 5:00:00 AM 45.5%
7/30/2026, 4:00:00 AM 45.5%
7/30/2026, 3:00:00 AM 45.5%
7/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM 46.0%
7/30/2026, 1:00:00 AM 46.0%
7/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM 46.0%
7/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM 46.0%
7/29/2026, 10:00:00 PM 46.0%
7/29/2026, 9:00:00 PM 46.0%
7/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM 45.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$52.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$337.2K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 3 days

End Date

Aug 7, 2026

Attention Score

20

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 21/100.

Probability Momentum 10
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 87
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (70)

Next Steps

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