Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 31?
Bitcoin above ___ on July 31?
Current Probability
99.6%
24h Change
Unchanged
Signal Score
15/100
Data Confidence
Medium (69)
24h probability fell 0.0pp
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
- Liquidity depth $15,174
- Medium data confidence (69)
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Current
99.6%
24h Change
Unchanged
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
5d of stored history
View history table
| Time | Probability |
|---|---|
| 7/29/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 99.6% |
| 7/29/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 100.0% |
| 7/29/2026, 3:00:00 AM | 100.0% |
| 7/29/2026, 2:00:00 AM | 100.0% |
| 7/29/2026, 1:00:00 AM | 100.0% |
| 7/28/2026, 10:00:00 PM | 99.5% |
| 7/28/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 99.5% |
| 7/28/2026, 7:00:00 PM | 99.5% |
| 7/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM | 99.5% |
| 7/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM | 99.5% |
| 7/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 99.5% |
| 7/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM | 99.5% |
| 7/28/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 99.6% |
| 7/28/2026, 1:00:00 PM | 99.6% |
| 7/28/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 99.6% |
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-0.4 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$25.4K
Volume vs Baseline
Baseline unavailable
Liquidity
$15.2K
Market Significance
Moderate (65)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Jul 31, 2026
Attention Score
16
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 15/100.
Probability Momentum
Strength of recent probability movement 0
Volume Activity
Trading activity versus the recent baseline 0
Liquidity Quality
Depth available to absorb orders without large price impact 78
Persistence
Whether the move holds across more than one lookback window 20
Data Confidence
Independent quality score for history coverage and data reliability Medium (69)